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Tom Wilkinson
June 17th 2026 - 16 min read

June 22 FIFA World Cup Predictions: Odds & Betting Tips

The World Cup 2026 group stage continues Monday with four matches from Group I and Group J. Argentina meets Austria in Arlington in a battle between the two winning teams in Group J, while France faces Iraq in Philadelphia as the heavy favorite in Group I. Norway then meets Senegal in East Rutherford before Jordan and Algeria close the night in Santa Clara.

These World Cup 2026 groups already have clear separation after one match. Argentina, Austria, France, and Norway all opened with wins, while Senegal, Iraq, Jordan, and Algeria are still looking for their first points. That makes Monday a major day for World Cup predictions, because two matches feature group leaders trying to take control and two feature teams trying to avoid falling into serious trouble in the World Cup 2026 group stage.

Betcris Arizona is offering Same Game Parlays for soccer, giving bettors the option of combining multiple selections from one game into a single wager. The choices could include match result, totals, team props, and more. That gives bettors several ways to approach Monday’s World Cup 2026 group matches.

World Cup 2026 Group Matches Today

Monday’s schedule begins with Argentina facing Austria at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Argentina opened Group J with a 3-0 win over Algeria, while Austria beat Jordan 3-1 in its opener.

France and Iraq then meet at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia. France defeated Senegal 3-1 in its first match, while Iraq lost 4-1 to Norway.

Norway faces Senegal later at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Norway can take a major step toward qualification with another win, while Senegal needs a response after losing to France.

Jordan and Algeria close the day at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California. Both teams are on zero points after opening defeats, which makes this one of the most important matches of the day.

Match Time Group Stadium TV
Argentina vs. Austria 1:00 PM ET Group J AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas FOX
France vs. Iraq 5:00 PM ET Group I Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania FOX
Norway vs. Senegal 8:00 PM ET Group I MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey FOX
Jordan vs. Algeria 11:00 PM ET Group J Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, California FS1

Today’s World Cup Groups Odds

The World Cup groups odds show France and Argentina as clear favorites in their respective groups. France is -380 to win Group I, with Norway next at +255. Senegal is far back at +5200, while Iraq is +40000.

France and Norway are also massive favorites to advance from Group I. France is -25000 to get through the group stage, while Norway is -15000. Senegal is still -200 to advance, which shows that the market has not completely turned on the Lions of Teranga despite their opening loss. Iraq is +1800 to advance and -1300 to finish bottom of the group.

The straight forecast market points to France and Norway as the expected top two in Group I. France/Norway is -170, while Norway/France is +190. France/Senegal is +400, but the market clearly believes Norway’s 4-1 win over Iraq changed the group picture.

Group J is even more top-heavy. Argentina is -1100 to win the group after beating Algeria 3-0, while Austria is +530 after defeating Jordan. Algeria is +6500, and Jordan is +30000.

The straight forecast market has Argentina/Austria at -230, making that the expected 1-2 finish. Argentina/Algeria is +230, which shows Algeria is still viewed as a possible second-place threat, but only if it responds against Jordan.

In the finish-bottom market, Jordan is -450 to finish last in Group J, while Algeria is +300. That makes Jordan vs. Algeria a major pressure match for both sides.

Early Payout

3-way moneyline betting offers the "early payout" feature. This means if the team you have backed leads by two or more goals at any point during regular time, your bet or leg will be settled as a winner, regardless of the final result. All bets that have not triggered the early payout condition will be settled on the full-time result.

Argentina vs. Austria Prediction and Betting Preview

Argentina is a -190 favorite against Austria, with Austria priced at +511 and the draw at +315. The total is set at over 2.5 goals at -108 and under 2.5 goals at -117.

This is the biggest Group J match of the day because both teams opened with wins. Argentina beat Algeria 3-0 behind a Lionel Messi hat trick, while Austria defeated Jordan 3-1. That puts both teams on three points, but the market still gives Argentina a clear edge to take control of the group.

Argentina is -1100 to win Group J, and that price reflects both its opening performance and overall tournament profile. Argentina is also +750 to win the World Cup, +375 to reach the final, +180 to reach the semifinals, and -130 to reach the quarterfinals. Those numbers show that the market still views Lionel Scaloni’s team as one of the major contenders.

The player's futures tell the same story. Messi is +500 in the Golden Ball market and +230 in the Golden Boot market after his opening hat trick. Julian Alvarez is +4700 for the Golden Ball and +5009 for the Golden Boot, while Lautaro Martinez is +8000 for the Golden Ball and +5510 for the Golden Boot.

Argentina’s current form is excellent. The Albiceleste have won five straight matches, scoring 15 goals and conceding only one. Four of those five matches went over 2.5 goals, but the stronger takeaway is how controlled Argentina has looked.

Austria also deserves respect. Ralf Rangnick’s team has won four of its last five matches with one draw, scoring 11 goals and conceding three. Austria’s high-pressing identity can make this game uncomfortable, especially with Konrad Laimer and Marcel Sabitzer working in midfield and Christoph Baumgartner helping connect attacks.

Austria is not priced like a true long shot in the group. The team is +530 to win Group J and +250 to reach the Round of 16. Austria is also +4000 to reach the final four and +17500 to win the World Cup, so the broader market sees this as a solid team rather than a one-match surprise.

Still, the matchup favors Argentina. Messi is in top form, Argentina’s defense has been outstanding, and the team has enough attacking depth through Alvarez and Lautaro Martinez to punish Austria if Rangnick’s press leaves space behind.

The moneyline is playable at -190, but Argentina -1 at -116 is the better betting angle. A one-goal Argentina win would push, and a multi-goal win would cash.

Argentina -1 at -116 is the preferred bet, with Argentina winning 2-0.

France vs. Iraq Prediction and Betting Preview

France is a massive -1155 favorite against Iraq, with Iraq priced at +2103 and the draw at +960. The total is set at over 3.5 goals at -101 and under 3.5 goals at -125.

This is the largest mismatch on Monday’s board. France opened with a 3-1 win over Senegal, while Iraq lost 4-1 to Norway. That puts France on three points with a strong chance to move to six, while Iraq is already under pressure to stay alive in Group I.

France is -380 to win Group I and -25000 to advance. The straight forecast market has France/Norway as the expected 1-2 finish at -170, and a win here would put Les Bleus very close to securing their place in the Round of 32.

The broader futures market also supports France’s status. France is +380 to win the World Cup, +230 to reach the final, +140 to reach the semifinals, and -168 to reach the quarterfinals. France is also -400 to reach the Round of 16.

Kylian Mbappe is the obvious storyline. He scored twice against Senegal and is +500 in the Golden Ball market and +200 in the Golden Boot market. Michael Olise is also drawing major respect at +700 in the Golden Ball market and +3005 in the Golden Boot market. Bradley Barcola scored off the bench against Senegal and gives Didier Deschamps another wide attacking option.

France’s recent matches have been wide-open. In their last five matches France scored 12 and conceded six, with all five games going over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in all five. That creates some interest in the over, even with the total set at 3.5.

Iraq’s challenge is clear. Graham Arnold’s team showed some attacking life against Norway when Aymen Hussein equalized in the first half, but the defensive mistakes were costly. Iraq conceded four goals, including one after a poor back pass and another late own goal. Against France, those errors are even more dangerous.

Iraq is +1800 to advance from Group I and -1300 to finish bottom. The market is treating them as the weakest team in the group, and a second straight loss would leave them needing a lot of help on the final matchday.

The France moneyline has no value at -1155. France -2.5 at -118 is tempting because of the talent gap, but Iraq showed enough fight against Norway to make a three-goal cover less automatic. The better angle is over 3.5 goals at -101. France can score several on its own, and Iraq’s defensive profile points toward another high-scoring match.

Over 3.5 goals at -101 is the preferred bet, with France winning 4-1.

Norway vs. Senegal Prediction and Betting Preview

Norway is +137 against Senegal, with Senegal priced at +194 and the draw at +236. The total is set at over 2.5 goals at -112 and under 2.5 goals at -114. On the handicap, Norway 0, -0.5 is +103, while Senegal 0, +0.5 is -131.

This is the most balanced match of the day and one of the most important matches in Group I. Norway opened with a 4-1 win over Iraq, while Senegal lost 3-1 to France. Norway can take a major step toward the knockout round with another win, while Senegal does not want to be sitting on zero points after two matches.

Norway’s opening win changed the group market. Norway is now +255 to win Group I and -15000 to advance. The team is also -135 to reach the Round of 16, +212 to reach the quarterfinals, +550 to reach the semifinals, and +950 to reach the final. Those prices reflect a team that is moving from dangerous outsider to serious knockout candidate.

The main reason is Erling Haaland. He scored twice against Iraq and is +551 in the Golden Boot market. Haaland is also +1100 in the Golden Ball market, while Martin Odegaard is +8000. Haaland gives Norway the best pure finishing presence in the match, and Odegaard gives the team the creative quality to feed him.

Norway have scored nine and conceded five in their last five matches. Both teams have scored in four of those five matches, and three of the five went over 2.5 goals. That fits the matchup against a Senegal side that can attack but has also conceded seven across its last five matches.

Senegal is still respected by the market. The Lions of Teranga are -200 to advance from Group I despite losing to France. They are also +230 to reach the Round of 16, +755 to reach the quarterfinals, and +4250 to reach the final. That shows the opening defeat did not erase their knockout hopes.

Senegal’s attacking trio can cause problems. Sadio Mane is +17500 in the Golden Ball market and +9017 in the Golden Boot market, while Nicolas Jackson is +10019 for the Golden Boot. Ismaila Sarr adds direct pace, and Pape Matar Sarr gives the midfield energy.

The concern is defensive resistance. Senegal gave France problems in transition but still conceded three goals. Norway is not as deep as France, but Haaland and Odegaard give the Norwegians a different kind of threat. Set pieces and direct attacks could also matter.

This match is priced close for a reason. Senegal has enough quality to respond, but Norway’s opener was too strong to ignore. The best betting angle is Norway 0, -0.5 at +103. That gives a better price than the moneyline while still backing the team with the current group momentum.

Norway 0, -0.5 at +103 is the preferred bet, with Norway winning 2-1.

Jordan vs. Algeria Prediction and Betting Preview

Algeria is a -184 favorite against Jordan, with Jordan priced at +505 and the draw at +304. The total is set at over 2.5 goals at -108 and under 2.5 goals at -118. Algeria is -1 at -112, while Jordan +1 is -113.

This is the late Group J match, and it is close to a must-win for both teams. Jordan lost 3-1 to Austria in its opener, while Algeria lost 3-0 to Argentina. With Argentina and Austria both already on three points, another loss would leave either Jordan or Algeria in a very difficult position.

The group market favors Algeria as the stronger rebound candidate. Algeria is +6500 to win Group J and +280 to reach the Round of 16. Jordan is +30000 to win the group and +2000 to reach the Round of 16. In the finish-bottom market, Jordan is -450, while Algeria is +300.

That tells the story of the match. Jordan showed real fight against Austria, but the market still sees the debutants as the more vulnerable side. Algeria lost by three goals to Argentina, but the scoreline came against the defending champion and was heavily shaped by Messi’s brilliance.

Jordan’s opener had positives. Ali Olwan scored the country’s first World Cup goal, and Mousa Al-Tamari remains the main attacking threat. Noor Al-Rawabdeh also played an important role by assisting Olwan’s goal. Jordan has enough speed and courage to trouble Algeria if the match opens up.

The concern is defensive form. Jordan’s last five matches show six goals scored and 13 conceded. Four of those five matches went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in four of five. That makes it difficult to trust Jordan to keep Algeria out for 90 minutes.

Algeria’s recent form is much stronger. The Fennecs have scored 12 goals and conceded only three across their last five matches. They also had clean-sheet wins over Bolivia and the Netherlands before the Argentina match. That defensive foundation is a major reason Algeria is favored here.

Riyad Mahrez, Amine Gouiri, Farès Chaïbi, Anis Hadj Moussa, and Rayan Aït-Nouri give Algeria the technical edge. The key will be whether Algeria can move the ball more quickly than it did against Argentina and create wider attacking overloads against Jordan’s shape.

Algeria -1 at -112 has some appeal because a one-goal win pushes, but Jordan’s fighting spirit makes the moneyline a better choice. Algeria should have more control, more defensive stability, and more ways to create chances.

The Algeria moneyline at -184 is the preferred bet, with Algeria winning 2-1.

Best World Cup Betting Angles for Today

Argentina is the best favorite at a playable price. The moneyline at -190 is reasonable, but Argentina -1 at -116 is the preferred angle because a one-goal win pushes and a multi-goal win cashes. Argentina’s 15-1 scoring margin across the listed five-match form table makes the favorite hard to fade.

France is the most likely winner on the board, but the -1155 moneyline is not playable. France -2.5 is a reasonable option, but over 3.5 goals at -101 is the better betting angle. France has elite attacking depth, Iraq allowed four against Norway, and France’s recent form profile points toward goals.

Norway vs. Senegal is the toughest match to call. Senegal has the talent to respond, but Norway’s 4-1 opening win and Haaland’s form make the Norwegians the preferred side. Norway 0, -0.5 at +103 is the best value angle.

Jordan vs. Algeria is a pressure match, but Algeria has the stronger form profile and the better defensive numbers. Jordan has conceded too often, and Algeria should be able to rebound from the Argentina loss. The Algeria moneyline at -184 is the preferred play.

How Group Standings Affect Today’s Predictions

Group I is already split after the opening matches. Norway leads the group with three points and a +3 goal difference after beating Iraq 4-1. France also has three points after beating Senegal 3-1, but sits second on goal difference. Senegal and Iraq are both on zero points.

That makes France vs. Iraq a match France is expected to control. A French win would move Les Bleus to six points and put them very close to qualification. If Norway also avoids defeat against Senegal, France would be in excellent position before facing Norway in the final group match.

For Iraq, the situation is much more difficult. A second loss would likely leave Iraq needing a final-match win and help elsewhere just to stay alive as a third-place candidate. That is why the group market has Iraq -1300 to finish bottom.

Norway vs. Senegal is the most important Group I match from a standings standpoint. A Norway win would move the Norwegians to six points and put Senegal in major trouble. A Senegal win would completely change the group and pull the Lions of Teranga level with Norway on three points.

Group J has a similar shape. Argentina leads with three points and a +3 goal difference after beating Algeria 3-0. Austria also has three points after beating Jordan 3-1. Jordan and Algeria are both on zero points.

Argentina vs. Austria is the top-of-group match. A win for Argentina would likely put the defending champions in full control of Group J. Austria can make the group far more interesting by getting a result.

Jordan vs. Algeria is the survival match. The winner gets to three points and remains firmly in the mix for advancement. The loser would be stuck on zero points heading into the final group match. A draw would not eliminate either team, but it would leave both sides in a difficult position.

The expanded World Cup 2026 group stage sends the top two teams from each group to the Round of 32, along with the eight best third-place finishers.

Daily World Cup Prediction Summary

Monday’s World Cup predictions begin with Argentina vs. Austria in Arlington. Both teams won their openers, but Argentina has the stronger top-end talent, better defensive form, and the hottest player in the tournament so far in Messi. Argentina -1 is the preferred angle.

France should beat Iraq in Philadelphia, but the moneyline is far too expensive. The better play is the total. France’s attacking depth, Mbappe’s form, and Iraq’s defensive issues make over 3.5 goals worth a look.

Norway vs. Senegal is the closest match on the board. Senegal has the pace and experience to create problems, but Norway has momentum after scoring four against Iraq. Haaland’s finishing gives Norway the edge.

Jordan vs. Algeria closes the night in Santa Clara. Jordan showed fight in its opener, but Algeria’s stronger recent form and defensive profile make the Fennecs the preferred side.

Match Prediction Betting Angle
Argentina vs. Austria Argentina win Argentina -1 -116
France vs. Iraq France win Over 3.5 goals -101
Norway vs. Senegal Norway win Norway 0, -0.5 +103
Jordan vs. Algeria Algeria win Algeria moneyline -184

Frequently Asked Questions

What are World Cup predictions based on?

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World Cup predictions are based on current match odds, group standings, recent form, player futures, and the specific matchup context. The strongest analysis connects the market with what happened in each team’s opening match.

Why is Argentina vs. Austria important?

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Argentina and Austria both won their opening Group J matches. Argentina beat Algeria 3-0, while Austria beat Jordan 3-1. The winner of this match would take control of the group before the final matchday.

Can Senegal still advance after losing to France?

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Yes. Senegal is still -200 to advance from Group I, which shows the market still gives the Lions of Teranga a real chance. However, a loss to Norway would make the path much more difficult.

Why is Jordan vs. Algeria important?

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Jordan and Algeria both lost their opening Group J matches. The winner gets back into the qualification race, while the loser would be stuck on zero points heading into the final matchday.

Can third-place teams still advance at the World Cup?

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Yes. The top two teams from each group advance to the Round of 32, along with the eight best third-place teams. That keeps more teams alive deep into the group stage.

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