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Tom Wilkinson
June 23rd 2026 - 15 min read

June 26 FIFA World Cup Predictions: Odds & Betting Tips

The World Cup 2026 group stage continues Friday with six matches across Groups G, H, and I. France and Norway meet in the biggest matchup of the day, with both teams already sitting on six points and both Kylian Mbappe and Erling Haaland in the middle of the Golden Boot race.

There is still plenty to settle elsewhere. Spain can lock down Group H with a result against Uruguay, while Cabo Verde can complete one of the best stories of the tournament by advancing from a group that includes Spain and Uruguay. In Group G, Egypt, Iran, Belgium, and New Zealand all enter the final matchday with something still on the line.

Betcris Arizona is offering Same Game Parlays for soccer, giving bettors the option of combining multiple selections from one game into a single wager. The choices could include match result, totals, team props, and more. That gives bettors several ways to approach Friday’s World Cup 2026 group matches.

World Cup 2026 Group Matches Today

Friday’s schedule begins with two Group I matches at 3:00 PM ET. Norway faces France at Boston Stadium in a match that will decide first place in the group, while Senegal meets Iraq at Toronto Stadium with both teams trying to keep slim knockout hopes alive.

Group H follows at 8:00 PM ET. Cabo Verde faces Saudi Arabia at Houston Stadium, while Uruguay meets Spain at Guadalajara Stadium. Cabo Verde can guarantee advancement with a win, while Uruguay needs a result to avoid serious danger.

Group G closes the day at 11:00 PM ET. New Zealand faces Belgium at BC Place in Vancouver, while Egypt takes on Iran at Seattle Stadium. Egypt leads the group, but Iran and Belgium are still unbeaten and very much in the qualification picture.

Match Time Group Stadium TV
Norway vs. France 3:00 PM ET Group I Boston Stadium, Boston, Massachusetts FOX
Senegal vs. Iraq 3:00 PM ET Group I Toronto Stadium, Toronto, Ontario FS1
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia 8:00 PM ET Group H Houston Stadium, Houston, Texas FS1
Uruguay vs. Spain 8:00 PM ET Group H Guadalajara Stadium, Guadalajara, Mexico FOX
New Zealand vs. Belgium 11:00 PM ET Group G BC Place, Vancouver, British Columbia FOX
Egypt vs. Iran 11:00 PM ET Group G Seattle Stadium, Seattle, Washington FS1

Today’s World Cup Groups Odds

The World Cup match odds show several clear favorites on Friday’s board. France is -160 against Norway in the Group I top-spot match, while Senegal is -421 against Iraq in the other Group I fixture. Belgium is the biggest favorite of the day at -522 against New Zealand.

Spain is -189 against Uruguay in a Group H match that carries major pressure for La Celeste. Cabo Verde is only +127 against Saudi Arabia despite already taking points from Spain and Uruguay, which makes them one of the more interesting prices on the board.

Egypt is +152 against Iran, with Iran priced at +286 and the draw at +160. That draw price reflects the standings and the style of the matchup, as both teams have shown enough defensive structure to make this one of the tighter games of the day.

The outright World Cup market also gives context. France is now +415 to win the tournament, Spain is +500, Argentina is +600, England is +650, Norway is +2800, Belgium is +6000, Uruguay is +25000, Egypt is +30000, Iran is +85000, Cabo Verde is +100000, Saudi Arabia is +150000, New Zealand is +150000, and Iraq is +300000.

The Golden Boot market adds even more intrigue to Norway vs. France. Mbappe is the favorite at +140, Lionel Messi is +150, and Haaland is +350. Spain’s Mikel Oyarzabal is +3000 after scoring twice against Saudi Arabia, while Mohamed Salah is +7500 after scoring for Egypt against New Zealand.

Early Payout

3-way moneyline betting offers the "early payout" feature. This means if the team you have backed leads by two or more goals at any point during regular time, your bet or leg will be settled as a winner, regardless of the final result. All bets that have not triggered the early payout condition will be settled on the full-time result.

Norway vs. France Prediction and Betting Preview

France is a -160 favorite against Norway, with Norway priced at +426 and the draw at +328. The total is set at over 2.5, 3 goals at -122 and under 2.5, 3 at +104. Norway +0.5, +1 is +112, while France -0.5, -1 is -132.

This is the match of the day. France and Norway both have six points in Group I, and both teams have already secured their place in the knockout rounds. The winner will take first place in the group, while a draw would leave the final order up to goal difference.

The attacking matchup is elite. Haaland has scored four goals in Norway’s first two matches, a 4-1 win over Iraq and a 3-2 win over Senegal. Mbappe also has four goals after scoring twice in France’s 3-0 win over Iraq, following the 3-1 victory over Senegal.

Norway has the physical edge up front with Haaland and Alexander Sorloth, while Martin Odegaard gives Stale Solbakken’s side the creative passer needed to unlock France’s defense. The concern is the back line, especially with Julian Ryerson coming off early against Senegal.

France has more depth and more ways to attack. Mbappe is the centerpiece, but Ousmane Dembele, Michael Olise, Desire Doue, Bradley Barcola, and Rayan Cherki give Didier Deschamps a frightening group of attacking options.

France can win this match, but Norway has enough firepower to make the side price uncomfortable. With both teams in rhythm and both star forwards chasing the Golden Boot, goals are the best choice.

Over 2.5, 3 at -122 is the preferred bet, with France winning 3-2.

Senegal vs. Iraq Prediction and Betting Preview

Senegal is a -421 favorite against Iraq, with Iraq priced at +1163 and the draw at +554. The total is set at 3 goals, with over 3 at -116 and under 3 at -101. Senegal -1.5, -2 is -113, while Iraq +1.5, +2 is -104.

Senegal and Iraq both enter this match on zero points, but Senegal has been far more competitive. The Lions of Teranga lost 3-1 to France and 3-2 to Norway, while Iraq lost 4-1 to Norway and 3-0 to France.

Senegal still has a realistic path to finish third, but it needs a win and likely needs help from the wider third-place table. Pape Thiaw’s team has shown enough attacking quality to believe it can take care of business here.

Ismaila Sarr is the key form player after scoring twice against Norway. Sadio Mane and Nicolas Jackson also give Senegal a much more dangerous attacking group than Iraq has faced outside of France and Norway.

Iraq will likely sit compact, defend in numbers, and look for Aymen Hussein on the break. That approach can keep the match competitive for stretches, but Iraq has conceded seven goals in two games and has struggled to keep pressure away from its back line.

The Senegal moneyline is too expensive, but the handicap is reasonable if the Lions of Teranga turn their attacking spells into goals.

Senegal -1.5, -2 at -113 is the preferred bet, with Senegal winning 3-0.

Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia Prediction and Betting Preview

Cabo Verde is +127 against Saudi Arabia, with Saudi Arabia priced at +210 and the draw at +260. The total is set at 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 at +100 and under 2.5 at -117. Cabo Verde 0, -0.5 is -102, while Saudi Arabia 0, +0.5 is -115.

Cabo Verde has been one of the best stories of the group stage. The tournament debutants held Spain to a 0-0 draw, then followed that with a 2-2 draw against Uruguay. That leaves them on two points and in position to make history.

Saudi Arabia has one point after drawing Uruguay 1-1 and losing 4-0 to Spain. The Saudis still have attacking talent, led by Salem Al-Dawsari and Firas Al-Buraikan, but they have not looked as organized or as confident as Cabo Verde.

The key for Cabo Verde is balance. They do not need to turn this into a wide-open match. Vozinha has been excellent in goal, and the defensive shape has already frustrated two much stronger opponents on paper.

The attacking side also has enough quality. Dailon Livramento was important in qualifying, while Ryan Mendes, Garry Rodrigues, Jamiro Monteiro, and Kevin Pina give Cabo Verde options in transition.

A draw could be enough depending on the Spain vs. Uruguay result, but a win guarantees progression. At plus money, Cabo Verde is the better side to back.

Cabo Verde +127 is the preferred bet, with Cabo Verde winning 2-1.

Uruguay vs. Spain Prediction and Betting Preview

Spain is a -189 favorite against Uruguay, with Uruguay priced at +555 and the draw at +329. The total is set at 2.5 goals, with over 2.5 at -122 and under 2.5 at +104. Uruguay +1 is +102, while Spain -1 is -120.

Spain leads Group H with four points after a 0-0 draw against Cabo Verde and a 4-0 win over Saudi Arabia. Uruguay has only two points after drawing 1-1 with Saudi Arabia and 2-2 with Cabo Verde.

That puts real pressure on Marcelo Bielsa’s side. Uruguay has enough talent to beat anyone in the group, but the defensive structure has not been convincing. La Celeste allowed Cabo Verde to score twice and has yet to produce a complete performance.

Spain responded well after the opener. Lamine Yamal scored against Saudi Arabia, while Mikel Oyarzabal scored twice and moved into the Golden Boot conversation at +3000. Rodri, Pedri, Dani Olmo, and the rest of the Spanish midfield should give Spain long stretches of control.

Uruguay’s path is through energy, pressing, and transition. Federico Valverde, Rodrigo Bentancur, and Darwin Nunez can make this difficult, especially if Spain get careless in possession.

Still, Spain has the cleaner form, better tournament position, and more reliable defensive profile. Uruguay’s urgency could make the game dangerous, but Spain should have enough quality to finish the group stage strongly.

Spain -1 at -120 is the preferred bet, with Spain winning 2-0.

New Zealand vs. Belgium Prediction and Betting Preview

Belgium is a -522 favorite against New Zealand, with New Zealand priced at +1382 and the draw at +651. The total is set at 3 goals, with over 3 at -116 and under 3 at -101. New Zealand +2 is -109, while Belgium -2 is -108.

Belgium has been disappointing through two matches. The Red Devils drew 1-1 with Egypt and 0-0 with Iran, and their only goal so far came through an Egyptian own goal. For a team with Kevin De Bruyne, Jeremy Doku, Leandro Trossard, Romelu Lukaku, and Charles De Ketelaere, that is not enough.

New Zealand opened with a 2-2 draw against Iran, then lost 3-1 to Egypt after taking an early lead. Chris Wood remains the central figure up front, while Elijah Just scored both goals against Iran and gives the All Whites a dangerous wide option.

The matchup still strongly favors Belgium. New Zealand has conceded five goals in two matches, and Belgium should have enough possession and final-third pressure to finally turn chances into goals.

Nathan Ngoy’s red card against Iran means Belgium will need to adjust defensively, with Arthur Theate a likely option to step in. That matters, but it should not change the overall shape of the match.

The moneyline is too expensive, and Belgium’s attacking form makes the handicap slightly uncomfortable. Still, New Zealand’s defensive numbers are a concern, and Belgium need a convincing response.

Belgium -2 at -108 is the preferred bet, with Belgium winning 3-0.

Egypt vs. Iran Prediction and Betting Preview

Egypt is +152 against Iran, with Iran priced at +286 and the draw at +160. The total is set at 2 goals, with over 2 at +106 and under 2 at -124. Egypt 0, -0.5 is +101, while Iran 0, +0.5 is -119.

Egypt leads Group G with four points after drawing Belgium 1-1 and beating New Zealand 3-1. Iran has two points after drawing 2-2 with New Zealand and then holding Belgium to a 0-0 draw.

This is a fascinating tactical match. Egypt has the better attacking ceiling with Mohamed Salah, Omar Marmoush, Mostafa Ziko, and Trezeguet, but Iran has already shown it can frustrate a more talented opponent. The clean sheet against Belgium was a major statement.

Iran’s structure is the key. Amir Ghalenoei’s side should be compact again, with Alireza Beiranvand protected by a disciplined back line. Mehdi Taremi and Saman Ghoddos give Iran enough quality to threaten on counters, but Iran does not need to chase early.

Egypt can qualify with a positive result, and that may also shape the tempo. Hossam Hassan’s side does not need to overextend if the match is level, especially with Group G still being decided at the same time.

The draw price at +160 tells the story. This should be close, cautious, and lower scoring than some of the other matches on the board.

Under 2 at -124 is the preferred bet, with Egypt winning 1-0.

Best World Cup Betting Angles for Today

France vs. Norway is the best match on the schedule, and the total is more attractive than the side. Both teams have scored freely, and Mbappe and Haaland are both chasing the Golden Boot. Over 2.5, 3 at -122 is the best angle.

Senegal should beat Iraq, but the moneyline is too high. Iraq has conceded seven goals in two matches, and Senegal has the pace and quality to create chances. Senegal -1.5, -2 at -113 is the preferred bet.

Cabo Verde is the best underdog-style play of the day. The debutants have already taken points from Spain and Uruguay, and they only need one more strong performance to reach the knockout rounds. Cabo Verde +127 is the pick.

Spain is the preferred side against Uruguay. La Celeste are dangerous, but Spain looked much better against Saudi Arabia and have more control in midfield. Spain -1 at -120 is the better angle than the moneyline.

Belgium needs a response against New Zealand. The Red Devils have not been convincing in attack, but New Zealand has conceded five goals in two group matches. Belgium -2 at -108 is the play.

Egypt vs. Iran looks like the tightest match of the day. Egypt has the better attacking talent, but Iran’s 0-0 draw with Belgium showed how disciplined this team can be. Under 2 at -124 is the best angle.

How Group Standings Affect Today’s Predictions

Group I is led by France and Norway, with both teams on six points. France has a +5 goal difference, while Norway has a +4 goal difference. Senegal and Iraq both have zero points, with Senegal at -3 and Iraq at -6.

That makes Norway vs. France a battle for first place. France has a slight edge because of goal difference and overall squad depth, but Norway can win the group with a victory. Senegal vs. Iraq is about third place and any possible wild-card hope.

Group H is led by Spain with four points and a +4 goal difference. Uruguay and Cabo Verde each have two points and a 0 goal difference, while Saudi Arabia has one point and a -4 goal difference.

That makes both Group H matches extremely important. Spain can finish first with a win over Uruguay. Cabo Verde can guarantee progression with a win over Saudi Arabia. Uruguay could still finish second, but a loss could put Bielsa’s side in real danger.

Group G is led by Egypt with four points and a +2 goal difference. Iran and Belgium each have two points and a 0 goal difference, while New Zealand has one point and a -2 goal difference.

Egypt is in the best position, but Iran can jump the Pharaohs with a win. Belgium is expected to beat New Zealand, but the Red Devils have not yet looked sharp. New Zealand still has a mathematical chance, but it needs a major upset.

The expanded World Cup 2026 group stage sends the top two teams from each group to the Round of 32, along with the eight best third-place finishers.

Daily World Cup Prediction Summary

Friday’s World Cup predictions begin with the Group I showdown between Norway and France. France is the better overall side, but the attacking form of both teams points toward goals. Over 2.5, 3 is the preferred play.

Senegal should be too strong for Iraq in the other Group I match. The Lions of Teranga have been competitive against France and Norway, while Iraq has struggled defensively.

Cabo Verde is the best story on the board and one of the better prices. The debutants have already held Spain and Uruguay, and they can guarantee a knockout place by beating Saudi Arabia.

Spain is the pick against Uruguay. The matchup is dangerous, but Spain’s midfield control and attacking depth should be enough to punish a Uruguay side that has not defended cleanly.

Belgium should finally break through against New Zealand. The Red Devils have been frustrating, but this is the right matchup for their attacking talent to show up.

Egypt vs. Iran profiles as a tight, tactical match. Egypt has the better attackers, but Iran’s defensive structure makes the under the better bet.

Match Prediction Betting Angle
Norway vs. France France win Over 2.5, 3 -122
Senegal vs. Iraq Senegal win Senegal -1.5, -2 -113
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia Cabo Verde win Cabo Verde +127
Uruguay vs. Spain Spain win Spain -1 -120
New Zealand vs. Belgium Belgium win Belgium -2 -108
Egypt vs. Iran Egypt win Under 2 -124

Frequently Asked Questions

What are World Cup predictions based on?

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World Cup predictions are based on current match odds, group standings, recent form, team motivation, and matchup context. The strongest analysis connects the odds with what has already happened in the group.

Why is Norway vs. France important?

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Norway and France both have six points in Group I, so this match decides first place in the group. It also features Haaland and Mbappe, who both have four goals in the tournament.

Can Cabo Verde advance to the knockout round?

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Yes. Cabo Verde can guarantee progression with a win over Saudi Arabia. A draw may also be enough depending on the Uruguay vs. Spain result and the third-place standings.

Why is Uruguay under pressure against Spain?

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Uruguay has drawn both of its first two matches and has only two points. A loss to Spain could leave Uruguay stuck in third place or worse, depending on the Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia result.

Has Belgium already advanced?

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No. Belgium has drawn both of its first two Group G matches. The Red Devils are still unbeaten, but they need a strong result against New Zealand to secure their place in the knockout-stage picture.

Can third-place teams still advance at the World Cup?

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Yes. The top two teams from each group advance to the Round of 32, along with the eight best third-place teams. That keeps teams like Uruguay, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Belgium, New Zealand, and the Group I third-place winner alive depending on results.

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