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Jonathan Willis
July 21st 2026 - 12 min read

Super Bowl LXI Odds: Favorites, Best Value Bets & Predictions

There have been many updates on the odds to win Super Bowl LXI over the last several months, but there has been one clear favorite to win Super Bowl LXI since June 1. The Los Angeles Rams became the team with the lowest Super Bowl LXI odds after acquiring two-time NFL Defensive Player of the Year Myles Garrett from the Cleveland Browns. The only other team that currently has Super Bowl odds under 10-1 is the Buffalo Bills, and the Bills are favored to win the AFC.

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Super Bowl LXI Odds 2027 Overview

Although the Seattle Seahawks are the reigning Super Bowl champions, they have the third-lowest odds to win Super Bowl LXI behind the Rams and Bills. Seattle did lose some key players in free agency, but it was the Rams swinging for the fences with the Myles Garrett trade that made their division rivals the clear favorite to win Super Bowl LXI.

Los Angeles Rams’ general manager Les Snead had an extremely interesting offseason. The Rams stunned a lot of observers by selecting quarterback Ty Simpson with the 13th overall pick, and that led to an increase in the Rams’ Super Bowl LXI odds 2027. That appeared to signal a possible rebuild in Los Angeles, but Snead flipped the script when the Rams made their second massive trade of the offseason. This is now arguably the most talented defense in the NFL, and that should make the Rams serious contenders for as long as Matthew Stafford can play at a high level.

How Super Bowl Futures Odds Work

Futures betting is great if you don’t mind waiting on a bet to pay out for a few months. The benefit of futures betting is it allows you to find better value for a one-time bet than to continually bet on results over the course of a season. There is only one winner when it comes to Super Bowl futures, and that is the team that lifts the Lombardi Trophy in February.

Why Super Bowl LXI Odds Move During the Season

The biggest reason why Super Bowl odds will move over the course of a season is due to injuries. If a star quarterback suffers a serious injury, that will pretty much decimate a contender’s chances of winning the Super Bowl, and you will see a drastic shift in their odds.

Sportsbooks can be slow to move the odds of a preseason Super Bowl favorite though. The Baltimore Ravens started the season 1-5 last year, but they never became too much of a longshot despite finishing the year with a losing record.

Super Bowl LXI Odds 2027 Favorites

The three Super Bowl LXI odds 2027 favorites are the Los Angeles Rams, Buffalo Bills, and Seattle Seahawks. While the Rams and Seahawks have recent Super Bowl victories to their credit, the Bills have infamously never won a Super Bowl. Buffalo has been one of the Super Bowl favorites since 2020, suffering some agonizing playoff defeats in the process, but the Bills still have the lowest odds to win Super Bowl LXI in the AFC despite their repeated failures in the postseason.

It is a little surprising to see the Super Bowl LXI odds 2027 for the Kansas City Chiefs listed at well over 10-1. However, Patrick Mahomes has had rather pedestrian touchdown-to-interception ratios over the last three seasons, and the Chiefs have steadily aged around the playmaking quarterback. Kansas City did add Kenneth Walker III in free agency this offseason, but the defense has some big question marks in the secondary.

Top Contenders to Watch

The Baltimore Ravens figure to be a contender once again after a miserable 2025 campaign. Baltimore was incredibly unfortunate last season, but the Ravens are clearly the most talented team in the AFC North. The offensive line is a concern, but Baltimore has an incredible backfield with Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry, and the defense should be among the league’s best once more.

Philadelphia is another team to watch after a disappointing 2025 season. The Eagles were the Super Bowl LIX champions and among the favorites entering last year, but they never looked quite right despite winning the NFC East with an 11-6 record. Head coach Nick Sirianni is hoping that a longer offseason and a roster shakeup can return the Eagles to the top of the NFL. 

What Makes a Team a Super Bowl Favorite?

Simply, teams with lower odds to win the Super Bowl are seen as Super Bowl favorites. The perceived best teams in the league are always going to be Super Bowl favorites, while bad teams are considered longshots. There are currently eight teams with odds of over 100-1 to win the Super Bowl this year, and the Arizona Cardinals are seen as the team with the longest odds to win it all at 600-1.

Current Odds to Win Super Bowl LXI

Most of the teams in the NFL have a realistic shot of winning Super Bowl LXI. If you look at the odds to win Super Bowl LXI, half of the league’s teams are under 27-1 to win the title. Only a handful of teams are truly out of contention before the first game of the season, and that list is highlighted by the Arizona Cardinals, Miami Dolphins, and New York Jets. The fact that the Dolphins and Jets are both in the same division as the Bills is part of the reason why Buffalo has the lowest Super Bowl LXI odds 2027 in the AFC.

Super Bowl LXI Futures Odds

Team Odds to Win Super Bowl LXI
Los Angeles Rams +485
Buffalo Bills +740
Seattle Seahawks +1151
Baltimore Ravens +1235
Kansas City Chiefs +1400
Los Angeles Chargers +1650
New England Patriots +1750
San Francisco 49ers +1800
Houston Texans +1850
Denver Broncos +1900
Philadelphia Eagles +1900
Detroit Lions +1952
Cincinnati Bengals +2100
Dallas Cowboys +2300
Green Bay Packers +2400
Chicago Bears +2650
Jacksonville Jaguars +3300
Minnesota Vikings +4800
Indianapolis Colts +5300
Washington Commanders +5500
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +5700
Pittsburgh Steelers +6300
New York Giants +8000
Atlanta Falcons +9500
Carolina Panthers +11500
Las Vegas Raiders +12000
New Orleans Saints +12000
Cleveland Browns +26500
Tennessee Titans +26500
New York Jets +35000
Miami Dolphins +42500
Arizona Cardinals +60000

Biggest Line Movement

There has been a ton of movement on the Los Angeles Rams this offseason. This franchise has repeatedly swung for the fences, and they did so again in their decision to trade for both Trent McDuffie and Myles Garrett. We have also seen the odds for the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles get longer over the course of the offseason as bettors are staying away from those teams even though they are recent Super Bowl winners.

Where Is Super Bowl LXI?

Super Bowl LXI will be held on Valentine’s Day, February 14, 2027, at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. Visitors raved about SoFi Stadium during the World Cup, and this will be the second time that SoFi Stadium has hosted a Super Bowl. The Los Angeles Rams bested the Cincinnati Bengals in a veritable home game five years ago in Super Bowl LVI.

Does Location Matter for Super Bowl Betting?

Location can play a huge part in Super Bowl betting. Almost every Super Bowl is played at an indoor stadium nowadays, so weather isn’t a factor, but home field advantage can come into play. No team ever had the benefit of playing at home for the Super Bowl until the Tampa Bay Buccaneers were able to beat the Kansas City Chiefs at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida in Super Bowl LV. The Los Angeles Rams followed it up the next year with their win over the Cincinnati Bengals at SoFi Stadium.

Super Bowl LXI Date 2027

The Super Bowl LXI date 2027 will be the latest in NFL history. Every Super Bowl was played in January until Super Bowl XXXVI, and the Super Bowl is now virtually locked in to be the second Saturday of February with the expansion of the regular season. Super Bowl LXI will be played on Sunday, February 14, 2027, at SoFi Stadium in the Los Angeles metropolitan area.

Key Dates Leading Up to Super Bowl LXI

Unofficially, the NFL season will kick off with the NFL Hall of Fame Game between the Arizona Cardinals and Carolina Panthers on Thursday, August 6, 2026. The NFL regular season will start on Wednesday, September 9, 2026, as the Seattle Seahawks host the New England Patriots in a Super Bowl rematch. There will also be regular season games in Australia and France for the first time in NFL history.

Best Betting Strategies for Super Bowl LXI Futures

One of the best strategies for betting Super Bowl futures is to find a team with a relatively easy first month of the season. The media will hype up any team that starts 4-0, and that could lead to some earlier value when it comes to odds to win Super Bowl LXI. As a corollary to that strategy, it’s always a good idea to try to focus on teams with easier regular season slates.

Sharp bettors jumped on the New England Patriots at 80-1 to win Super Bowl LX prior to last season. New England had the advantage of one of the easiest schedules in the NFL, and Mike Vrabel led them to an AFC title before falling to Seattle in the Super Bowl. New England will no longer be considered a Super Bowl LXI sleeper, 

Bet Early for Better Value

As previously discussed, you can find great futures odds if you are willing to place money down in the summer. New England bettors were able to guarantee themselves a nice profit if they hedged late in the playoffs last year, and that’s the benefit of taking a team at 80-1 before the season starts.

Avoid Overpaying for Public Teams

Teams like the Dallas Cowboys will always have lower odds than they should due to their massive fanbase. Dallas has won just four playoff games over the last three decades, and the Cowboys have never advanced further than the NFC Divisional Round. Still, the Cowboys are annually one of the most bet teams to win the Super Bowl.

Look Beyond the Favorites

There is little value in betting NFL futures if you are just looking to take the favorites. The Los Angeles Rams’ Super Bowl odds are unlikely to change much over the course of the season barring injury, but a longshot could see their odds drop drastically if they are playing very well.

Teams That Could Offer Value in Super Bowl LXI Odds

The New York Giants have long odds to win Super Bowl LXI, but they might be worth a bet at 80-1. New York has a talented young quarterback in Jaxson Dart, and John Harbaugh is a coach that has something to prove after an unceremonious end in Baltimore. This could be one of the most explosive offenses in the league, and the defense has the potential to create havoc if Abdul Carter plays up to his potential.

Proven Playoff Teams

There’s no doubt that the most proven playoff team is the Kansas City Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes has already won three Super Bowl titles, and he is an incredible 17-4 in the postseason. Kansas City missed out on the playoffs last season, but Mahomes will strike fear into the hearts of opponents if the Chiefs return to the postseason once more.

Rising Teams With Young Quarterbacks

Caleb Williams had a great sophomore season, and that has made the Chicago Bears a real threat to win Super Bowl LXI. Chicago almost knocked off the Los Angeles Rams in the Divisional Round last year, so it is a little surprising to see the Bears listed at almost 30-1. 

Defensive Teams With Upside

Denver is the team that best fits the mold here. The Broncos were going to be favored to make the Super Bowl on the strength of their defense until Bo Nix suffered a season-ending injury. Denver still boasts an incredible defense that can put this team over the top with decent quarterback play.

How to Read Super Bowl LXI Betting Odds

It’s not difficult to read odds to win Super Bowl LXI. To put it simply, the smaller the number by the team means they are more of a favorite, while the larger the number by the team makes them more of an underdog.

Example of Super Bowl Futures Odds

If a team is +1000 to win the Super Bowl, that means they are 10-1. A $100 bet on a team to win the Super Bowl at 10-1 would return $1,000 if that team were to win it all.

Implied Probability in Futures Betting

There are several odds converters freely available on the internet that can convert betting odds into implied probability. The best odds converters will list odds in terms of fractional odds, decimal odds, American odds, and implied probability.

Final Thoughts on Odds to Win Super Bowl LXI

While the Los Angeles Rams are the clear favorites to win Super Bowl LXI. There are several teams that have good value on them at this point. The Baltimore Ravens are a solid bet at over 10-1, while the New York Giants are a quality longshot at 80-1. If you are looking for some middle ground, the Chicago Bears are north of 25-1 despite an impressive 2025-26 season.

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